9-7-2015 9-26-21 AM

The GBT – The Good, The Bad and The Telling sandwich, where The Bad is nice and lean and the The Telling is ripe.

Yankees 6, RAYS 4 (boxscore)

In past years it feels like you can point to a half-dozen or so games every season in which the Rays lost a game they absolutely had no reason losing. While the Rays have had a number of heartbreaking losses this year, including a club-record 11 walk-off losses, there haven’t been many games that they lost that you really looked at as one that should have absolutely been a win.

Sunday was one of those and it came at maybe the worst point it could have possibly happened.

With the Rays really needing a win to stay within shouting distance in the Wild Card race, the Rays and Chris Archer were cruising to what looked like another dominant performance by Big Tree. The Rays were up 3-0 in the 6th and the game felt over. Archer had allowed only 2 baserunners and looked unbeatable. But after giving up a single, Archer walked Carlos Beltran with 2 outs. Archer either suddenly lost his control or was inexplicably pitching around Beltran with 2 outs to face Brian McCann. If the latter, it backfired, as McCann got ahead in the count 3-1 and then launched a game-tying 3-run home run. Alex Rodriguez followed on the very next pitch with another home run.

It might as well have been the 9th inning because you could just see how deflated the Rays were at that point. It was game over and maybe season over.

The Rays have suddenly lost 3 of 4 and now sit at 67-69, 4.5 games back in the Wild Card. More importantly, the Rays are 5 back in the loss column. To put that in perspective, even if the Rangers go 13-14 in their final 27 games and the Twins and Angels go 13-13 in their final 26 games, the Rays would have to go 17-9 in their final 26 just to tie the Rangers. There is nothing to suggest the Rays can go 17-9.

Maybe more importantly, the Rays are most likely going to have to do better 17-9 because it is probably too much to hope for all of those teams to play .500 or worse down the stretch. In fact, PECOTA gives the Rays just a 6.0% chance of making the playoffs. Typically we use 5.0% as the cutoff between “still have a realistic shot” and “it’s going to take a miracle.”

The Rays are on life support and the doctors are talking about pulling the plug.

THE TELLING: Hak-Ju Lee cleared waivers after being designated for assignment to make room on the 40-man roster. He will remain with the Durham Bulls…Steven Souza began a rehab assignment on Saturday. He will play in the Durham Bulls’ season finale today and is expected to rejoin the Rays this week…Desmond Jennings still has not been cleared to start running.


  • Stuart Sternberg has high praise for the job Kevin Cash is doing. [TampaBay.com]
  • Meanwhile, Kevin Kiermaier made SportsCenter’s “Not Top 10” for his leg-over-the-wall incident. [Twitter]
  • MLB umpires are wrong on balls and strikes calls about 22 times per game. That is more than 50,000 during the season. Maybe it is time to start using something like K-Zone to call balls and strikes. [BI Sports]
  • Carlos Pena recounts the time he was stung by one of a ray while playing for the Rays. [MLB.com]




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