The GBT – The Good, The Bad and The Telling sandwich, where The Bad is nice and lean and the The Telling is ripe.

White Sox 10, RAYS 5 (boxscore)

THE GOOD: Finishing Strongish. If we look at just the numbers since the All-Star break, we see that Ben Zobrist (.355 OBP, .328 wOBA, 2.1 WAR) and Evan Longoria (.242, .317, 1.2) have been the best position players as they should be. The problem is even Longo’s second-half numbers are still below what we expect from him and there has been almost no help elsewhere. One player who has quietly played well in the second half and has probably guaranteed himself a spot on the 2015 opening day roster is Brandon Guyer, hitting .278 with a .361 OBP (.339 wOBA) in 124 second-half plate appearances (Longo has 266). Of course, that is almost exclusively against lefties but Guyer is going to be in the lineups next year when a lefty is on the mound and that is a good thing. As for the pitchers, Brad Boxberger has not let up posting a second-half FIP of 1.78 which suggests he has been even better than his 1.98 ERA. He has been a little unlucky with the home runs, giving up 9. His flyballs tend to go out of the park a little more often than most relievers (15%). So there is a chance he will give up fewer home runs next season and there is good reason to think he will be just as good.

Brandon Guyer

THE BAD: Finishing Poorly. Meanwhile, if we ignore players who were hurt at times in the second half, no position player played worse after the All-Star break than Sean Rodriguez and that is somewhat surprising. It feels like he comes up with a big hit more often than he actually does. Rodriguez is hitting .159 with a .205 OBP (.226 wOBA) since the break. And like Guyer, Rodriguez is being played most often when the matchups should favor him and yet he is still not getting the job done. Yes, he offers Joe Maddon position and lineup flexibility. But with Nick Franklin on board now, it is hard to imaging Rodriguez will be on the team next year.

Sean Rodriguez

Attendance. The Rays drew 1,446,464 fans for their 81 home games this season. That is the lowest mark in MLB since 2007 when both the Rays and Marlins drew less than 1.4 million.

THE TELLING: Off-day today before the final 6 games of the season. The Rays are now 75-81 and would need to win all 6 of their remaining games to finish at .500.


  • Matt Joyce thinks he will be traded this off-season. []
  • I thought the Rays would trade Jeremy Hellickson last winter. Now his name is coming up as a potential trade target this winter. [Boston Globe]
  • Marc Topkin takes a look ahead to the 2015 roster. []
  • Here is a look at this season’s attendance by day of the week. [@TBBaseballMkt]
  • What the highest-paid athletes make per game in different sports. [BI Sports]




  1. edward says:

    What is the big facination with the rays attendance, ok it was bad, but in the paper , on the radio, etc. if you look at the numbers yea we probably are the worst, except maybe cleveland who by the way have a winning record but you don't hear about thier fans, or lack there of (?) watching games this year you could even see the yankees stadium half empty, of course that is still probably 30,000 at least that is what i see in the paper. Ok so now you got me going on about attendance, lol. It has to lower around mlb, there just isn't that many stadiums that look full. Oh well thanks for letting me rant , hope everybody has a wonderful off season. Now i guess i can say GO LIGHTNING

  2. Lane Meyer says:

    How about we have a sabermetric figure to compare attendance? It could include average attendance divided by total population within 30 (25? 50?) miles of the home stadium divided by number of MLB teams in the market (i.e. NY, Chicago, LA who have 2 teams). This would give us the Fan IDGAS (I Don't Give A Shit) Quotient and show what cities show up to games as a percent of population. I think the numbers could be eye-opening.

    • Mr. Smith 1980 says:

      They should calculate actually tickets through the gate as opposed to adding in sometimes 10,000's of corporate tickets that aren't actually in use on any given night... you'd see numbers more in line with what St Pete is showing.

      • Geoff Peterson says:

        Well, sales are sale. I'm sure MLB doesn't care as long as someone pays for the seats. My point is, per capita the Tampa Bay area probably supports their team as well or in many cases better than many larger markets. If 1.4 million seats are 1/3 of our market size, then NY should be selling maybe 5 million seats per team.


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