Playoffs?

  • Ray Magic Number Now 13

    Ray Magic Number Now 13

    September 13, 2010 at 8:44 am 1 comment

    The Rays magic number to clinch at least a Wild Card berth is 13 over both the Red Sox and White Sox. To put that in perspective, even if the Rays go just 10-10 in the final three weeks, the Red Sox or White Sox would have to go 17-2 [...]

     
  • Is Winning The AL East That Important?

    Is Winning The AL East That Important?

    August 31, 2010 at 10:00 am 23 comments

    Barring a collapse of historic proportions, the Rays are going to the playoffs. The only question that remains is whether they can fight off the Yankees for the division title. But winning the East may not necessarily be the best move for the Rays. As of today, the Twins and [...]

     
  • Your Morning Shot Of Joe: Turning The Corner

    Your Morning Shot Of Joe: Turning The Corner

    July 6, 2010 at 8:00 am 11 comments

    A true playoff atmosphere was confirmed last night when the stunning D-cup 20-year-old sitting in front of Joe delivered him a big hug after the final out and “daddy” alongside her didn’t mind. Ahh, the thrill of victory. Joe can never get enough hugs from buxom women, or enough of [...]

     
  • Is It Too Early To Start Thinking Playoffs?

    Is It Too Early To Start Thinking Playoffs?

    May 21, 2010 at 9:00 am 7 comments

    PECOTA gives the Rays a 96.9% shot at making the playoffs. CoolStandings.com has the number at 91.3%. Sure the Rays are 30-11. But we are only one-quarter of the way through the season. Certainly those numbers are a little bloated, right? In the Wild Card era, 12 American League teams [...]

     
  • A 2010 Projection In Which Tampa Bay Rays Finish 113-49

    A 2010 Projection In Which Tampa Bay Rays Finish 113-49

    April 6, 2010 at 10:30 am 12 comments

    A recent look at several systems suggests the Rays will win about 91 games this season and finish third in the AL East. That’s nice, but what is the full potential for the 2010 Tampa Bay Rays? In the PECOTA projections over at Baseball Prospectus they actually provide a range [...]

     
  • The Mathematical Definition Of “One Tough Ass Division”

    The Mathematical Definition Of “One Tough Ass Division”

    April 5, 2010 at 9:00 am 7 comments

    In 2006 and 2007, we called this “The Mathematical Definition Of ‘No Chance In Hell.” In 2008 it was “The Mathematical Definition Of ‘The Rays Are Getting Warmer,” and last year it was “The Mathematical Definition Of “Rays Are In For A Dogfight.” In one of our favorite preseason posts, [...]

     
  • The 2009 Preseason Mathematical Projections: A Look Back

    The 2009 Preseason Mathematical Projections: A Look Back

    October 9, 2009 at 10:00 am 1 comment

    Back in Spring Training we took a look at several different projection systems and how the 2009 Tampa Bay Rays could be expected to perform. Each of the systems (ZiPS, PECOTA, Marcel, CHONE, The Hardball Times, CAIRO) uses a different set of projected stats and simulated the 2009 season 1,000 [...]

     
  • The Ridunculously Premature Playoff Picture: Week 3

    The Ridunculously Premature Playoff Picture: Week 3

    April 22, 2009 at 10:00 am 6 comments

    In our quest to prove that there are no more original ideas, we blatantly borrow this feature from The Shutdown Corner, and one of our two or three favorite writers, The Mighty MJD. If you are a football fan and are not reading The Shutdown Corner, we must ask why [...]

     
  • The Ridunculously Premature Playoff Picture: Week 2

    The Ridunculously Premature Playoff Picture: Week 2

    April 16, 2009 at 11:00 am 5 comments

    In our quest to prove that there are no more original ideas, we blatantly borrow this feature from The Shutdown Corner, and one of our two or three favorite writers, The Mighty MJD. If you are a football fan and are not reading The Shutdown Corner, we must ask why [...]

     
  • The Mathematical Definition Of “Rays Are In For A Dogfight”

    The Mathematical Definition Of “Rays Are In For A Dogfight”

    April 2, 2009 at 12:00 pm 20 comments

    In 2006 and 2007, we called this “The Mathematical Definition Of ‘No Chance In Hell.” Last year it was “The Mathematical Definition Of ‘The Rays Are Getting Warmer.” In one of our favorite preseason posts, Replacement Level Yankees Weblog, have finally released “The 2009 Diamond Mind Projection Blowout.” In the [...]