Diamond Mind

  • [2008 TAMPA BAY RAYS] The 2008 Preseason Mathematical Projections: A Look Back

    [2008 TAMPA BAY RAYS] The 2008 Preseason Mathematical Projections: A Look Back

    November 3, 2008 at 3:52 pm 1 comment

    Back in Spring Training we took a look at several different projection systems and how the 2008 Tampa Bay Rays could be expected to perform. Each of the systems (ZiPS, PECOTA, Diamond Mind, CHONE, The Hardball Times, CAIRO) uses a different set of projected stats and simulates the 2008 season [...]

     
  • [2008 TAMPA BAY RAYS] The Mathematical Definition Of "The Rays Are Getting Warmer"

    [2008 TAMPA BAY RAYS] The Mathematical Definition Of "The Rays Are Getting Warmer"

    March 26, 2008 at 3:10 pm 3 comments

    Using six different projection systems, one website projects the Rays to finish 82-80. In 2006 and 2007 we called this “The Mathematical Definition of ‘No Chance In Hell’”. In 2008? It is now more like the “The Mathematical Definition of “Getting Warmer”. The good folks over at Replacement Level Yankees [...]

     
  • 2007 Mathematical Definition Of ‘No Chance In Hell’

    2007 Mathematical Definition Of ‘No Chance In Hell’

    April 1, 2007 at 2:26 pm 0 comments

    The good folks over at Replacement Level Yankees Weblog have finished their annual mathematical projections of the 2007 season. In short they run 1000 simulations for the 2007 season using player projections from four different sources including Dan Szymborski’s ZiPS, Baseball Prospectus’s PECOTA, Diamond Mind’s projections and Sean Smith’s CHONE [...]