After being swept by the A’s over the weekend, the Rays fell to 5.5 games behind the Red Sox in the AL East and have almost no chance of winning the division.
But the Orioles are not playing much better and the Rays still have a 3-game lead over Baltimore for the second Wild Card spot. The Indians and the Yankees are just a half-game behind the Orioles.
Still, a 3-game lead with just 27 games remaining is a lot bigger than it sounds. As a result, the Rays still have a 61.5% chance to make the playoffs. Of that, they have a 55.1% chance of being a Wild Card team and a 6.4% chance of winning the division according to CoolStandings.com.
Meanwhile, the Yankees, who would have to pass three teams in the final month, have just a 10.1% chance of making the playoffs at all…