It is time for our annual Meta-Analysis of the Rays top prospects. In the science community, a meta-analysis is what we do when we take the work of a bunch of other people, tease the data a little, draw some conclusions that nobody had noticed before, and then pawn it off as our own.

Our top prospects meta-analysis averages the rankings for the Rays’ top prospects and includes the top prospect rankings from Baseball, Baseball America, Baseball Prospectus,, and Minor League Ball.

Presenting the 2013 Tampa Bay Rays Top Prospects Meta-Analysis…


A few notes on the prospect rankings…

  • Wil Myers is the unanimous selection as top prospect.
  • After Myers, there is much less agreement. Three players were ranked second in at least one list, including Chris Archer (3X), the Rays’ first-round pick in 2011 Taylor Guerrieri (1X), and Jake Odorizzi (1X), who along with Myers, was acquired in the James Shields trade.
  • The two players that have the most disagreement are Richie Shaffer, the Rays’ first-round pick in 2012, and Tim Beckham, the #1 overall pick in 2008. Shaffer is ranked anywhere from 5th to 16th, while Beckham is as high as 10th and as low as 19th, and not even ranked on two lists.
  • Chris Archer jumps up from 5th in the 2012 Meta-Analaysis to 2nd overall. Hak-Ju Lee fell from 2nd to 5th. Mikie Mahtook went from 6th to 11th. Tim Beckham was 9th last year.
  • Alex Torres (3rd in 2012), Brandon Guyer (11th), Parker Markel (12th), and Ryan Brett (13th) fell off the list
  • Wil Myers, Jake Odorizzi, Richie Shaffer, Felipe Rivero, Mike Montgomery, and Derek Dietrich are new to the list this year. Of course, most of those players are new to the organization this year.
  • The final list includes all players that appeared in the top 10 of at least one list.
  • Some players did not appear on every list. For players not on a list, we gave that player a ranking of 2 spots lower than the lowest ranked player in the list for the purpose of calculating the final average.


  1. Ricky C says:

    Wasn't Dietrich sent to the Marlins in the Escobar trade?


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