A look back at past seasons shows that, on average, 89 wins would have been needed to be the second Wild Card team in the American League. That’s big step down from past seasons in which typically 94-95 wins were needed to be the lone Wild Card team.
So, regardless of what other teams do, if the Rays can get 16 games over .500, they’ll have a good shot at playing in the post-season.
Early on, it looked like getting to that mark would be easy as the Rays reached 11-games over .500 after just 27 games (19-8). But since that high-water mark, the Rays are just 23-30 and are now only 4-games over .500.
Here’s a look at how the season has progressed so far…