This post, which will appear before every game, will include starting lineups (when we learn them) and during the game will include a Game Graph that will constantly update the percent chance the Rays have of winning this particular game.

Game Graph

[Will be up at game time]

Source: FanGraphs

Playing A Little Pepper

There are about 5 weeks before the trade deadline and BJ Upton will be a free agent after the season. Should the Rays trade him?

Normally I would said “not gonna happen,” and I am still leaning that way. But the wild card is the new compensation system, and how we just don’t know how the Rays will change how they treat free agents-to-be. Will the Rays offer Upton a guaranteed 1-year deal worth about $13 million (required to be compensated)? Probably. And if that’s the case, they will sit on BJ and wait for him to walk. Also consider that other teams won’t benefit from trading for Upton as a rental as a player must be with the team at least a year to be compensated. And that hurts his trade value. All of this points to Upton staying here until November…PROBABLY NOT

Lineup…

  1. BJ Upton, CF
  2. Carlos Pena, 1B
  3. Jeff Keppinger, 3B
  4. Hideki Matsui, DH
  5. Ben Zobrist, RF
  6. Sean Rodriguez, SS
  7. Flash Jennings, LF
  8. Brooks Conrad, 2B
  9. Jose Lobaton, C
  10. Chris Archer, SP

Song to get you pumped up

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6 Comments

  1. Don says:

    Cork, I really don’t see how much trade value he could have at this point. Rentals typically have to have some immediate benefit and impact on the new team, I just don’t see that with him,

  2. Rob says:

    Just read on the Tampa Bay Times site that someone was hit by a falling bullet while sitting inside the Trop during a game. WTH? That stadium and its location is a joke.

    By the way, if Stu thinks attendance is low now, wait to see what happens if the Rays are out of the Wildcard at the All-Star break. We won’t have to worry about bullets hitting anything but empty seats.

    http://www.tampabay.com/news/publicsafety/out-of-town-police-chief-pelted-by-falling-bullet-during-rays-game/1237346

  3. Dave L says:

    It takes 2 to tango.

    Here is what it takes for BJ to be shopped.

    Factors:

    1) Rays must be hopeless with regard to the division title and WC race

    2) Some playoff hopeful team must have such a deficiency at Center that BJ would make a marked improvement.

    3) They must be willing to offering a package of youthful prospects in exchange for him, sub 30 yo guys.

    4) If they offer a big contract guy, they must be willing to eat most of his salary as the Rays will look for a net reduction in payroll in any deal.

    Thats alot of hurdles to clear.

    Likely Outcomes:

    1) I am still hopeful our pitching will give us a glimmer of a chance despite the worst hitting team in Rays history.

    2) Who will BJ help? Playoff hopefuls only. I cant think of anyone.

    3) They must be willing to mortgage the future and in this moneyball concious era thats less likely.

    4) That aint gonna happen

    • Rob says:

      1). Watching the Rays kick the ball around now and I think this one could happen sooner than you think.

      2). Lots of teams could have hopes with the extra WC, even if most of them are unrealistic. St. Louis and Cincy could use more power in CF and you never know who is going to get hurt in the next 5 weeks.

      3). Stupid is as stupid does

      4). Could, but I have a feeling the Rays do it and get little in return.

      • Dave L says:

        Ok I bite give me an example. A for instance.

        Its like the offseason pitcher trade. Who did we in turn down in the real world?

        I am as frustrated as anyone when we are playing poorly

  4. YoBuc says:

    Must trades:
    B.J. (if you want to win something this year)
    Shields (2011 was his aberration year. oh, and he has no future in broadcasting)

    Get a major league SS and a centerfielder who has a season ticket (i.e. shows up for every game)

    Throw in junk filler like rodriguez, e johnson, chirinos if that’s what it takes to get Scutaro and Gonzalez from Rockies.

    Stop making excuses; everybody has injuries. Longo needs some mlb caliber teammates to come back to.

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