Archive for October 2nd, 2008

[HAPPY HOUR] Dirtbag Powers Rays To Game 1 Win

Joe Maddon, Stuart Sternberg, Todd Kalas 10 Comments »


THE GOOD: Evan Longoria. Dirtbag became just the second player to homer in each of his first 2 playoff at bats. The first player to accomplish this feat was Gary Gaetti. Coincidentally, Gaetti was Longoria’s hitting coach at triple-A Durham…The Bullpen (again). Grant Balfour came in with 1 out in the 7th inning and the bases loaded. He then proceeded to do what he does best. The Mad Australian struck out the next 2 batters, but not before apparently annoying Orlando Cabrera, who took exception to Balfour’s antics and kicked dirt towards the mound. JP Howell then took over in the 8th, striking out the first 2 batters he faced and retiring the side in order. Dan Wheeler started off shaky giving up a home run, but then settled down and got the next 3 batters for the save. 2.2 innings, 1 hit, no walks, 5 strike outs.

THE BAD: James Shields. He did get the win, but Shields is turning into a cliche. Give up a 2 or 3-run home run early. Scare the crap out of the fans. Then settle down and work into the 7th or 8th inning. Why “bad”? Because, if he keeps this up in the playoffs, he is going to give us an ulcer…Carlos Pena. Pena had to be removed from the game due to blurry vision after he apparently scratched his eye at home the night before. The Rays are saying that they expect him to be ready to go tomorrow.

THE TELLING: The most important games in a 5-game series are games 1 and 3. Now, all the Rays have to do is split the next 2 games with Scott Kazmir going at home and Matt Garza going in game 3 in Chicago. Earn at least a split in the next 2 and the Rays will be positioned to move on to the ALCS.

DEVIL DOGS WEBTOPIA

  • Buster Olney says that Joe Maddon has bullpen that can handle any situation. [ESPN]

History shows a closer-by-committee setup usually isn’t advisable. But the Rays’ committee is very good, and very deep.

  • For the playoffs, Todd Kalas has been relegated to the Party Deck above left field. [The Heater]
  • If the ALDS goes 5 games, Stuart Sternberg will not be attendance as Wednesday marks the first day of Yom Kippur. [New York Times]
  • Manny Stiles breaks down the playoff matchups. We are a little confused by the statement, “The Bears and Buccaneers both kinda suck this year.” Huh? The Bucs are 3-1. [armchair gm]
  • What would the Rays’ VH1 song be? Hugging Harold Reynolds says “Now That We Found Love” by Heavy D…We are not sure the Rays have found love yet. How about “Owner of a lonely heart”. [Hugging Harold Reynolds]

[RI CONFIDENCE GRAPH] The Rays Index Confidence Graph: Week 27

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The Rays Confidence Graph will appear every Wednesday and is a look at how much confidence Rays fans have in the Tampa Bay Rays. The graph is designed to give us a look at how our emotional bias as Rays fans fluctuates through time. The “confidence” in the team is an inexact measure of how fans feel about the team’s current strength as well as how much confidence fans have in the franchise for the next 3-4 years. Notes on this weeks agida-level can be found after the graph..

Notes on the RI Confidence Graph…

  • The most common response for “Confidence in 2008 Rays” was 10 with 53.7%.
  • The most common response for “Confidence in future of franchise” was 10 with 65.0%.

[RIGO!] Rays Index Live Blog-A-Baloo: ALDS Game 1 vs Chicago White Sox

Rays Index Game On No Comments »

[SHOWER-SHOE FUNGUS] Playing A Little Pepper: Chicago White Sox

Pepper 2 Comments »

FIRST INNING
A look back…
Troy Percival, who helped solidify the Rays bullpen, will not be on the roster for the ALDS…Who will close games for the Rays?

Four of the six pitchers that will be in the bullpen have postseason experience. In the postseason, when bullpens reign supreme, that will give the Rays a huge advantage. But that may not factor into who gets the ball in the 9th inning. Joe Maddon’s MO all season is that no one game is any more important than any other. That leads us to believe that he will play this game the same as if it were September. Of course the problem with that is, Dan Wheeler got most of the save opportunities when Percy was on the shelf and Wheeler, how do we put this? Wheeler sucked in the 9th inning. But as long as Wheeler is healthy, we feel he will get more chances than the others, but if the situation calls for a lefty, look for Trever Miller…DAN WHEELER

SECOND INNING
Headlines
17 so-called experts at ESPN, and only 1 picked the Rays to win the World Series. It sounds like the Rays have little chance to win it all…Are these 16 “experts” right about the Rays?

Since 2001, 61.2% of series have been won by the team that had the more difficult schedule during the regular season, while teams with a better record actually lost more series than they won. The Rays enter the postseason with not only the 3rd best record in baseball, but they did it against the most difficult schedule in baseball. On top of that the Rays are 9-3 combined against the Angels (6-3) and Cubs (3-0), the only teams with better records than the Rays and they have a winning record against the other 3 AL playoff teams. Oh, and the Rays would have home field advantage in at least 2 rounds, where the Rays posted the best home record since the ’98 Yankees…THE RAYS HAVE A BETTER CHANCE THAN MOST THINK

THIRD INNING
Headlines
After going all season with 7 relievers, Joe Maddon will only have 6 at his disposal in the ALDS…Does this worry you?

We would only be worried if the Rays did not have an off-day after Scott Kazmir’s start. On a night when the Rays will likely use at least 4 relievers, the ‘pen will need the day off. Now the only concern is an extra-inning game 1. If the Rays have to go 12+ innings in game 1, the bullpen will be taxed heading into Kazmir’s start. But if the series goes 5 games, there will be 2 off-days. That should be plenty of rest for a 6-man ‘pen…NO

FOURTH INNING
Headlines
Joe Maddon announced Matt Garza as the game 3 starter. With his tendency to lose his cool and his strong record at home (2.89 ERA), coupled with Scott Kazmir’s history of pitching big games on the road, should Garza have been the game 2 starter?

This was a little scarier when it was still possible for Garza to pitch game 3 in Minnesota. But now we feel better knowing that the off-day will come after Kazmir’s start when there is a good chance he will only work 5 innings…NO

FIFTH INNING
Headlines
[B-Double E-Double R-U-N....Beeerrrr Runnnnnnn]

SIXTH INNING
A look outside the box
With the Rays facing the White Sox…what team should RAYSHEADS be rooting for in the other ALDS?

There is no good answer here. Would the Rays rather play games 1 and 2 on the road against the lesser opponent? Or at home against the Red Sox? Beating the Red Sox sure would be sweet, but we do not like the idea of playing any October games in Fenway…LOS ANGELES ANGELS OF ANAHEIM NEAR DISNEYLAND

SEVENTH INNING
Over/Unders
12 stolen bases for the Rays in the ALDS:

The Rays led the majors in steals and AJ Pierzynski threw out only 10.3% of would-be base stealers. The Rays will likely run early and often, putting pressure on the White Sox pitchers. We wouldn’t be surprised if the Rays had 10 in the first 2 games…OVER

7.2 innings in game 1 for James Shields:

Considering the Sox could be suffering from a hangover, if Shields survives the first two innings with fewer than 3 runs allowed, he will go 8 and he could very well go the distance…OVER

5 innings in the game 2 start for Scott Kazmir:

It has gotten so bad that we would consider 6 innings a good night for Kazmir, but he usually goes 5…OVER

6.5 wins for the Rays in the postseason:

7 wins gets the Rays to the World Series. They should get at least 3, but both of the potential second round match ups scare us. And yet, every time we start to doubt this team, they find a way to win…OVER

EIGHTH INNING
On deck
At this point, Andy Sonnanstine is the tentative game 4 starter…Is there any situation under which The Duke does not start game 4?

If the Rays are up 2 games to 1, then Sonnanstine will be the game 4 starter. Where it gets murky is if the Rays are trailing 2-1. Joe Maddon could bring James Shields back on 3-days rest. A secondary benefit would be the availability of Scott Kazmir on normal rest back at the Trop for game 5. Knowing the Rays have to win both, would Papa Joe prefer Sonny/Shields or Shields/Kazmir? It might depend on how many pitches Shields throws this afternoon. And if Shields does start game 4, Maddon will have Sonnanstine and David Price in the bullpen ready to go as soon as Shields gets into any trouble…JAMES SHIELDS IF DOWN 2-1

NINTH INNING
Putting out the fire
Yankees fans are not taking this “no playoffs” thing well at all…Should we feel sorry for them?

Let’s get this straight. A Yankees fan would rather see the Red Sox win the World Series than the Rays?…MY HOW THE MIGHTY HAVE FALLEN

Kevin Costner and his band recorded a song for the Rays…Fair or foul?

The Cubs get Pearl Jam and we get Modern West?…BABY STEPS

The Rays decided to go with John Higgans to throw out the first pitch in game 1…Got a problem with that?

There were plenty of worse choices they could have made…NO

We all know you will be drinking…What is the drink of choice for the ALDS?

The Miller Brewing Co. is the no. 1 brewer in Chicago. The Bay Area has Busch Gardens and Anheuser-Busch…BUD LIGHT (WE HAVE TO WATCH OUR GIRLISH FIGURE)

[THE HANGOVER] Barring Last-Second Appeal By Hank Steinbrenner, Rays Open Playoffs Today

AJ Pierzynski, Carl Crawford, Carlos Pena, Carlos Quentin, Joe Maddon, Stuart Sternberg 6 Comments »


Click on above images to be taken to full standings, boxscores or schedule…

We wrote an ALDS preview for the fine folks over at The Hardball Times. As usual, we like to call these guest spots “Rays Index on amphetamines” as they tend to be a little longer than what you would normally find here. It is also a bit more biased than you might expect. Oh well. [The Hardball Times]

And this will either be the coolest thing you will see today…or the most disturbing. [Bugs and Cranks]

DEVIL DOGS WEBTOPIA

  • In case you missed it yesterday afternoon, we ran a bunch of “Webtopia” links in the evening “Happy Hour” feature. [Rays Index]
  • Quick reminder: We will bring you a Rays Index Live Blog-A-Baloo this afternoon for Game 1 of the ALDS
  • Carl Crawford will bat 5th today, but Joe Maddon did not rule out a return to the 2-hole later in the series. [Tampa Tribune]
  • When the teams travel to Chicago, the Rays can expect the dirt around home plate to be very wet as it was for the one-game playoff against the Twins…We suspect that will carry over to the base paths as well. [Chicago Sun-Times]
  • The White Sox “Ain’t S#!t” compared to the Rays. [Bugs and Cranks]
  • Stuart Sternberg spoke with WFAN’s Mike Francessa yesterday. Here is a link to the audio. [WFAN]
  • Carlos Quentin will not play in the ALDS against the Rays. [USA Today]
  • Not sure we want to see a lot of these, but maybe 20 or 30 right behind the White Sox dugout would be nice. [The Heater]
  • Carlos Pena will be blogging during the postseason. [MLBlogs]
  • Not sure where we have seen this before? [St. Pete Times]
  • A Chicago Tribune reporter asked several Rays if there was any bad blood stemming from the incident in Chicago during the season in which AJ Pierzynski duped an umpire into a game-changing call. The Rays downplayed any blame for Piehead. [Chicago Tribune]
  • 3 of 5 Chicago Sun-Times writers pick the Sox to win the series…The Sun-Times is the White Sox paper. [Chicago Sun-Times]
  • One writer wants to set the national media straight about the Tampa Bay Rays. [Fielder's Choice Baseball Card Blog]