Archive for June 16th, 2008

[ANDY SONNANSTINE] Andy Sonnanstine Struggles When He Changes Arm Angles

Andy Sonnanstine 3 Comments »

In the beginning of May, Andy Sonnanstine’s record was 4-1 and we noticed that his emergence this season may have been due at least in part to a change in his mechanics. Specifically, Sonnanstine was no longer using different arm angles, one of his trademarks.

Here is the plot we showed you earlier comparing Sonnastine’s release point in ‘07 (left) to his release point in his first six starts of ‘08 (right).

As you can see, the pitches on the right (‘08) are much more clustered and more over the top.

Since we ran that post Sonny has struggled at times. We decided to go back and look again at Sonny’s Pitchf/x data. The results were surprising.


Here we have added the updated 2008 release point data to the right of the previous two clusters (2008a represents Sonnanstine’s first 6 starts of ‘08; 2008b represents all of Sonnanstine’s ‘08 starts).

A couple of points stand out…

  1. Sonnanstine is once again changing arm angles on his pitches, specifically his fastball and his splitter.
  2. The varying arm angles differ in ‘08 as compared to ‘07. The different release points appear to be spread more horizontally and he is not dropping his arm as he was in ‘07.

Now let’s see how these changes have translated to The Duke’s stat lines…

The first (2007) and third (2008-starts 7-14) lines are when Sonnanstine was using different arm angles. The middle line represents when Sonnanstine was not varying his release point.

Once again, a couple of points stand out…

  • Sonnanstine’s stat lines are very similar when he is changing arm angles.
  • Sonnanstine clearly strikes out more batters when he changes arm angles, but he also gives up considerably more hits and his ERA is higher.
  • His walk rate appears consistent whether he is changing arm angles or not.
  • Sonny works deeper into games when he is not changing arm angles.

We must point out that we only have a small sample size of starts without changing arm angles (6 starts). Also, we don’t have a game-by-game breakdown, so we cannot be certain when Sonnanstine started varying his release point again, but we do know that it was after his first 6 starts of ‘08.

Still, there appears to be a very clear trend: Andy Sonnanstine strikes out more batters when he changes arm angles, but he is a better overall pitcher when he does not.

Sonnanstine No Longer Changing Arm Angles [Rays Index]

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[Carl Crawford] Carl Crawford Has Wheels…Literally

Carl Crawford, Danica Patrick No Comments »

Carl Crawford is fourth in the American League with 19 stolen bases. The 4-time AL stolen base champ is currently on pace for what would be a career-low 45 steals.

Well, it looks like CC is employing a little extra help on the basepaths these days…

Personally, we would rather just have Danica Patrick drive us from base-to-base.

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[RI CONFIDENCE GRAPH] The Tampa Bay Rays Confidence Survey

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Last week’s Rays Confidence Graph results.

Below you will see two polls that ask about your confidence in the Tampa Bay Rays. Please take a moment to answer each question. We will present these same polls every Monday. The results will be presented in graphical form on Wednesday, and will be displayed permanently in the sidebar. The goal of the Confidence Graph is to get a feeling of how Rays fans feel about the team and the franchise and track how that level of confidence changes through time. Thanks!

Raysiverse events of the past week that could impact confidence levels…


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[THE HANGOVER] Sometimes You Win, Sometimes You Lose, Sometimes It Rains

Edwin Jackson, Evan Longoria, Jason Bartlett, Joe Maddon, Ken Griffey Jr, Lou Piniella 4 Comments »



THE GOOD: Give us a second….hold on….nope. We got nothin’.

THE BAD: Losing 2 hours and 55 minutes of our lives that we will never get back.

THE TELLING: The Rays drew 79,393 fans for the 3-game series against the Marlins. Last year, the Rays drew only 56,123 for the Marlins series in late May. That is an increase of 41.4% that cannot be entirely due to a Saturday night concert and a Sunday Father’s Day crowd. In fact, Friday’s attendance of 19,312 bested the Friday night game last year by more than 6,000.

DEVIL RAYS WEBTOPIA

  • Don’t forget to VOTE for Carl Crawford to start the all-star game. If you haven’t voted yet today, go NOW! [MLB All-Star Voting]
  • Joe Maddon is not overly concerned about Edwin Jackson’s recent struggles. [Bradenton Herald]
  • Oh, but Martin Fennelly is. Fennely thinks the Rays should win every game, because one loss is apparently reason to panic…Believe us, winning is nice and it is a nice change to expects victories, but can we avoid the Yankees and Mets’ mentality of thinking that one loss is the end of the world? As the old baseball adage goes…Sometimes you win, Sometimes you lose, Sometimes it rains (ok, maybe that doesn’t work so well at the Trop) [Tampa Tribune]
  • Ken Griffey Jr’s agent denies that his client is considering waiving his no-trade rights for a chance to play with the Rays. [MLB]
  • Marc Lancaster finally comments on the buzz of Ken Griffey Jr.-to-the-Rays…Being last to the table is becoming an old habit for Lancaster. [Tampa Tribune]
  • As the roster stands right now, Evan Longoria is the Rays’ backup shortstop. However, barring an injury to Jason Bartlett, Dirtbag won’t be seeing any playing time there anytime soon, thanks to the number of off-days in this current stretch of games. [Bradenton Herald]
  • Lou Piniella will rotate some of his regulars into the DH slot when the Cubs play the Rays. [MLB]
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[DOWN ON THE FARM] Chris Mason Picks Up 3rd Win

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Durham 5, Buffalo 3. Chris Mason gave up 3 runs in 6.2 innings and picked up his 3rd win in 10 decisions. He struck out 5 and walked one, but was touched for 2 home runs…Chris Richard hit his 12th home run and added a single in 4 at bats…Joel Guzman and Reid Brignac were each 0-4.

Mobile 2, Montgomery 1. Jino Gonzalez pitched 5 shutout innings…Chris Nowak was 1-2 with 2 walks and John Jaso went 0-4.

Vero Beach (off-day)

Columbus 4, Rome 1 (game 1). Jesse Darcy improved to 3-0 with just 1 run allowed in 5 innings. He struck out 3 and walked none…Cody Cipriano was on base 3 times and drove in 2.

Rome 3, Columbus 0 (game 2). Jason Ragan gave up 2 runs (1 earned) in 5 innings…The Catfish managed only 2 singles and 1 walk. They never had a runner reach second base.

NOTES FROM DOWN ON THE FARM…

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