Archive for March 21st, 2008

[HAPPY HOUR] Rays Could Use Sonnanstine In The Bullpen

Akinori Iwamura, Andy Sonnanstine, BJ Upton, Dan Wheeler, Derek Jeter, Edwin Jackson, Jason Hammel, JP Howell, Trever Miller, Troy Percival No Comments »

Tampa Bay Rays (10 days until Opening Day)

Night game tonight. No BJ Upton or Akinori Iwamura until Sunday. Andy Sonnanstine gets the start. A solid outing would probably secure his spot in the rotation if there is still any doubt. Evan Longoria will start at third base. If the Rays have decided already to send The Dirtbag to the minors, they will wait until Willy Aybar is ready to play again before making an announcement.

Rays-Yanks: Upton, Aki likely back Sunday [The Heater]

DEVIL RAYS WEBTOPIA

  • Buster Olney compares BJ Upton’s apparoach at the plate to that of Derek Jeter. However, he does note that Upton should hit for more power and post better OBPs. [ESPN]
  • It sure sounds like Andy Sonnanstine and JP Howell have both already made the roster. No surprise that Howell is headed to the ‘pen, but Hickey’s comments on Sonnanstine as an ideal relief pitcher is a little surprising. [Tampa Tribune]

According to Hickey, it’s rare that either reports soreness in his arm the day after starting, neither takes particularly long to get warmed up, and both can be relied upon to come in and throw strikes even if they haven’t pitched in a few days…”You kind of target those guys,” Hickey said. “You don’t just take anybody and say ‘This guy’s capable of being a relief pitcher.’”

  • Outs Per Swing breaks down the Final Four for the Rays’ rotation, predicting Edwin Jackson, Andy Sonnanstine and Jason Hammel to fill out the empty slots. [Outs Per Swing]
  • Troy Percival is not the only pitcher that has accepted the role of mentor in the Rays’ clubhouse. Dan Wheeler and Trever Miller have both used their experience to help the younglings on the Rays’ pitching staff. [St. Pete Times]

[2008 ROSTER] 2008 25-Man Roster And Starting Lineup Projections Redux

25-man Roster 6 Comments »

The 2008 25-man roster prediction is based only on players currently within the organization and will be updated when trades are consummated and free agents are signed.

We are half-way through spring training, let’s update our 25-man roster projections with a couple of changes. We are now also going to include a most-days lineup projection.

Notes on the projection can be found after the roster…

A FEW NOTES ON THE 25-MAN ROSTER…

  • Lineup: The only question here is still the biggest question for the opening day roster and all signs point to Evan Longoria in Durham.
  • Bench: This has become a jumbled mess because of injuries. Ben Zobrist is the key. If he is healthy, he is the main utility-guy. He is the backup shortstop and backup center fielder that Joe Maddon desires. If he is not ready that should open the door for Elliot Johnson or Jon Weber. Shawn Riggans and Eric Hinske both look like they are in, but a trade or free agent signing could shake that up a little. The final spot is a bigger question mark, but it is starting to look like Joel Guzman person that stands to gain the most by Longoria’s demotion. He has good position flexibility and is out of options.
  • Rotation: When the spring started, it was 5 pitchers for 2 spots. Now, after Scott Kazmir’s latest set-back, it looks more like 4 guys for 3 spots. Especially considering recent quotes by Maddon that suggest he prefers JP Howell in the ‘pen. Andy Sonnanstine and Edwin Jackson look like locks although who knows what Jackson will do in his next spring start. So the big question is whether Jeff Niemann’s strong spring gives him the nod over Jason Hammel.
  • Bullpen: Top 5 are locked in. We see three arms for the final two spots. JP Howell, Jason Hammel and Scott Dohmann. Interestingly, Howell may have the strongest grip on one of the spots.

[RAYS INDEX STORE] RAYSHEADS UNITE! New Items In The Rays Index Store

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Just want to let you know that we added a couple of items to the Rays Index Store, based on requests. The first t-shirt will be a permanent addition, while the second item will only be available for a limited time.

If there is something you would like to see in the Rays Index Store, please shoot us an email with the Tips email address at the top of the page. We will also accept requests. If you are looking for a different style of shirt, just let us know.

Click on any image to be taken directly to the Rays Index store.

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[EVAN LONGORIA] Dirtbag-O-Meter: 10 Days Until Opening Day

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We call him The Dirtbag because of how he plays and because he played college ball at Long Beach State whose baseball team has the coolest mascot in sports…The Dirtbags.

The biggest question mark for the Tampa Bay Rays in Spring Training is whether or not Evan Longoria will be named the opening day third baseman. Manager Joe Maddon has repeatedly stated that the decision will be based less on his stats, and more on how the 22-year old handles himself on a day-to-day basis and how well The Dirtbag adjusts to everyday life as a major leaguer. From now until the Rays announce a decision on Longoria’s fate, we will track The Dirtbag’s progress through his numbers, our own observations and quotes from Maddon and Andrew Friedman…

Notes on the Dirtbag-O-Meter…

Yesterday: Evan Longoria did not start, but did enter the game in the 6th and played third base going 0-1. In the 7th, he grounded out to third to end the inning and leave a runner stranded on third in his only plate appearance. In the field he handled a pop up and a ground ball cleanly.

Quotes: None reported.

Summary: Yesterday fell all the way from 80% to 30% based on quotes from Joe Maddon and some teammates that seemed resigned to the idea of starting the season without the team’s hottest hitter. Afterwards, grumblings could be heard everywhere that the Rays may feel too much pressure to send The Dirtbag down to the minors. We find it highly unlikely that the team would succumb to this kind of pressure, but we do concede that the team must at least consider that the fans and some of the players are not going to be happy about the idea of an opening day roster without Longoria. And while the team has stated that the needs of the prospect outweigh all other factors, The Dirtbag is the best third baseman and one of the best hitters on the team. If they are serious about competing in 2008, Longoria needs to be on the roster sooner, rather than later. Based on that we kick the Dirtbag-O-Meter back up one notch.

[THE HANGOVER] Several Roster Decisions Still Pending

Akinori Iwamura, BJ Upton, Carl Crawford, Dan Wheeler, Dirtbag-O-Meter, Evan Longoria, Gary Glover, Jason Hammel, Jay Bruce, Trever Miller, Wade Townsend No Comments »

Tampa Bay Rays (10 days until Opening Day)

Yesterday: Tampa Bay Rays 4, Indians 4.

The Good: Dioner Navarro continues his hot spring, going 2-2 with a double, home run and a walk. He is now 11-28 (.393) on the spring with 2 doubles, 2 home runs and a OPS. Elliot Johnson and Reid Brignac Durham’s likely double-play tandem successfully turned a pair of twin-killings.

The Bad: Jason Hammel wasn’t terrible, but he really needed a strong showing to get his name back in consideration for the rotation. In 4.1 innings, he gave up 3 runs on 4 hits, 2 walks and a hit batter…Same can be said for Jeff Niemann. He was a little better, but his 4 innings of 1-run ball came against the B-teamers and he did walk 2 and give up 5 hits while striking out only 1.

The Telling: Jonny Gomes played 5 innings in center field as Joe Maddon continues to look fir a suitable backup…Joel Guzman got the start at third base. With Willy Aybar nursing a sore hamstring, Guzman stands to be the backup third baseman if Evan Longoria is demoted. A start at third suggests that Maddon wants to get Guzman some work at the hot corner in preparation for the regular season. It was not a case of giving Longoria a day off as he came in and played the second half of the game.

DEVIL RAYS WEBTOPIA

  • Yesterday, the brilliant, highly esteemed, good-lookin’, greatest writer in the universe, Rob Neyer of ESPN.com wrote a piece focusing on our “Dirtbag-O-Meter”. Neyer argues that the Rays should use the money they could potentially save by having Evan Longoria begin the season in the minors and buy some goodwill with the fans by keeping The Dirtbag in the majors. [ESPN]

Two opinions: 1. Management wants Longoria to open the season in the minors, if only because it might save the franchise a few million bucks down the line. and 2. Management really, really wishes Longoria wasn’t doing quite so well this month.

  • Both BJ Upton and Akinori Iwamura had to be removed from yesterday’s game due to injury. Neither injury appears serious. [Tampa Tribune]
  • Rays of Light thinks the Rays have no choice now but to keep Evan Longoria on the roster for opening day. Considering the recent comments by Carl Crawford they correct conclude that it is a tricky situation the team has created telling the players they want to win, but then send the team’s best spring performer down to the minors. [Rays of Light]
  • If Evan Longoria is reassigned to minor league camp, he won’t be the only top prospect in baseball that will have to wait a little longer. The Reds’ outfielder Jay Bruce, Baseball America’s top-rated prospect (Longoria was #2) will start the season at AAA. [Baseball America]
  • The Ledger says “Jason Hammel appears likely to start the season in the Rays’ pitching rotation unless the decision is his to make.” We are going to have to agree with Hammel on this one when he says ” “Honestly, there’s other guys who have thrown better than me.” We know Hammel is out of options, but Niemann deserves the shot before Hammel. At least in the case of Jackson, he has shown that he can be dominant. Hammel has never shown that. [The Ledger]
  • David Chalk argues that the Yankees level of failure in the 21st Century exceeds that of every other team, including the Devil Rays. He actually makes a pretty convincing argument. In essence Tampa Bay has met expectations. The same cannot be said of the Evil Empire. [Bugs & Cranks]
  • Not only has Wade Townsend healthy for the first time in years, but he enters 2008 with more velocity than ever on his fastball. [Tampa Bay Rays]

“My velocity and the curveball are the best they have been,” he said. “It’s just a matter of going out there and transforming that into performances this year, and hopefully I’ll start as high as I can go.”

  • Baseball Crank published their 2008 AL East projection and have the Rays finishing 4th with only 71 wins. While the 88 wins projected by PECOTA seems a little high, this number seems a little low. We are also skeptical of a projection that gives the Yankees 101 wins and the Red Sox only 88. [Baseball Crank]
  • Brittany Ghiroli points out that Gary Glover, Dan Wheeler and Trever Miller have all been able to work on consecutive days recently in an effort to get them ready for the regular season. Joe Maddon also notes that he is trying to get Miller more work against lefties in the spring, a scenario that is difficult with so many pitchers needing work. [Tampa Bay Rays]

“We want to get those guys some innings. Plus, when you are able to stretch these guys out over here [at Al Lang Field], that’s less time on this side of things,” Maddon said. “Sending guys over there just to get some work and match them up is ideal for us…You just don’t want the first time they’re going back-to-back to be at the beginning of the regular season,” Hickey said.

  • So far Joe Maddon likes what he has seen from Akinori Iwamura at second base and notes that there is already a strong chemistry between he and Jason Bartlett. [Tampa Bay Rays]

“Any time you go from this side to that side, the runner is coming in at your back,” Maddon said. “[But] I see him staying in there really well on the double play. I see him throwing really hard and accurately to first.”…Maddon added that Iwamura has been equally as sharp on the mental side of playing second, noting he has been in the right place every time on bunts, cutoffs and relays. Maddon also likes the chemistry that has developed between Iwamura and shortstop Jason Bartlett….”[Bartlett] has really helped the transition for Aki by just the way he is, his personality and his character. He’s embraced having Aki there. You see it all the time. They’re together constantly, and I watch the conversation. They’re really cut from the same cloth emotionally. They are both confident young men — and because of that, they have both hit it off.”

  • Outs Per Swing takes a look at some of the players that may end up on waivers for the Rays to pick up as a fourth outfielder. [Outs Per Swing]
  • Beyond the Boxscore takes a look at how much of Carl Crawford’s game is owed to his speed and tries to predict what type of player Crawford would be if he had average speed. [Beyond the Boxscore]
  • Bleacher Report names the best players to play each position for the Rays in their first ten seasons. [Bleacher Report]
  • Stacy Long projects where some of the Rays top prospects will begin the season. [Riverwalk Talk]