Archive for February 3rd, 2008

[HOWELL VS KAZMIR] JP Howell And Jamie Moyer Were Separated At Birth

Jamie Moyer, JP Howell, Scott Kazmir 2 Comments »


I don’t want to take credit for animated gif above (I found it on THIS forum) but it must be the single worst thing to happen to JP Howell since being born without a fastball. Howell is the pitcher in the middle. He is flanked on the left by Scott Kazmir and on the right by Jamie Moyer. Howell may someday be a very good pitcher but to compare him to Kazmir is like putting a picture of Julia Stiles next to a picture of Scarlett Johansson. Stiles is a good lookin’ girl, but she is no Scarlett and comparing her to Scarlett just accentuates the flaws.

The first thing you will notice in the animated gif is that Howell is basically Moyer minus the viagra. I have seen the Prof compare Howell to Moyer on this site before, but seeing them side-by-side, the similarities are down-right ridiculous.

As for comparing Howell and Kazmir, we can see very easily why a pitcher like Kaz can generate a 95 mph fastball and Howell cannot.

  • Starting with the legs, Kazmir drops more on his delivery to the plate. It is not quite Tom Seaver, but this allows him to get more drive off his back foot. Howell’s leg is much straighter and it is more like his body “falls” towards the plate.
  • Notice how softly Howell and Moyer land on their plant foot (front leg). This makes their delivery much more fluid, but it does not trigger the same torque seen in Kazmir. When Kaz lands on his plant foot it is a much more violent landing, and his body actually appears to jump up.
  • Notice the amount of torque that Kaz generates throughout his body. His plant leg will actually twist to the right after landing and his rear twists very strongly to the left. Again, very little of this is seen in Howell, who relies almost entirely on his arm.
  • But where Kaz appears to get the extra couple of inches on his fastball is the glove arm. Howell does a good job of keeping the glove close to the body which helps pull the right shoulder through, but the force is not that great, as you can see the glove arm just dangle off to the right on the follow through. On Kazmir, the glove moves with almost the same amount of arm speed as his pitching arm. His glove arm has it’s own follow through. I don’t recall another pitcher that has that much arm action on his glove hand. I would equate it to the golf swing of John Daly.
  • All of this adds up to an incredible amount of arm speed generated on somebody that is only 6’0″. For those that do not recall their physics classes, points farther away from the point of rotation have a higher rotational velocity. in other words, if pitcher A is 6’9″ and player B is 6’0″, we can assume that pitcher A has a longer arm. And if they generate the exact same arm speed, the taller pitcher will actually have a faster pitch. This is why teams prefer taller pitchers.
  • Notice the difference in follow through on the pitching arms of three pitchers. When Kazmir follows through his pitching hand comes through and actually collides with his lower right side. On the other hand, when Howell follows through, his arm just stops and dangles straight towards the ground.

All this adds up to one pitcher that is a dominant pitcher already at a young age, and another that will never be dominant but one day be a consistent innings eater that keeps his teams in games, like Jamie Moyer. Howell must learn how to miss the sweet spots of the opposition’s bats and will struggle until he does.

[THE SUNDAY MORNING REVOLUTION] Evan Longoria Wants A Chance To Prove He Belongs On The Opening Day Roster

Alex Gordon, Carlos Pena, Evan Longoria, Matt Silverman, New Stadium, Rick Baker, Rocco Baldelli, Ryan Braun 3 Comments »

Tampa Bay Devil Dogs (11 days until pitchers and catchers report)
Marc Lancaster believes the Rays are using the Royal’s Alex Gordon and Milwaukee’s Ryan Braun as case studies for their decision about where Evan Longoria will start the 2008 season. Gordon was the opening day third baseman for Kansas City while Braun began the season in AAA.

Gordon struggled early for the Royals hitting .173 in April and .195 in May. However, he rebounded in June hitting .327. Braun on the other hand started off hot in AAA, where he hit .342 with 10 home runs in the first month. He was then called up to the Brewers and continued his torrid pace hitting .349 in his first month.

If the Rays are indeed using Gordon and Braun as a barometer to help them decide where Longoria starts the 2008 season, then there is a very good chance we will not see the Dirtbag in a Rays uniform until June.

Longoria spoke publicly for the first time about the possibility of the Rays front office deciding prior to Spring Training where he will start the 2008 season. Longoria stated he would be disappointed if the Rays decided to keep him in Durham to start the season without at least giving him a chance to show what he can do in Spring Training.

“I heard they might tell me beforehand but not for sure, so I assume it will be based on how I do,” Longoria said from California. “It’s only fair. I feel I’m coming into spring a lot more ready than I was last year. I’d kind of be a little disappointed if they told me beforehand I didn’t have a chance to make the team.”

“If they are going to make the decision beforehand, I’d rather not know,” he said. “I’d rather go in, play my best and throw it all on the table. It’s only my second year, so it’s not like it’s a make-or-break year or anything, but a chance is always nice.”

I sure hope the Rays are not going to base their decision only on how Ryan Braun and Alex Gordon performed. There is nothing to suggest that Braun would not have hit well if he started the season in the majors and there is nothing to suggest that Gordon would not have struggled for two months even if he had started in the minors. In fact, one could argue that Gordon benefited from being given the opportunity to work out the kinks in the big leagues, knowing that his job was not in jeopardy, as opposed to struggling in the minors with a job on the line.

The biggest reason the Rays should not base this decision on Gordon and Braun is that they represent a sample size of 2. For every Alex Gordon that struggles in his first two months in the big leagues, I can give you a Dan Uggla who started the season in the majors and hit well all season long.

There may be reasons to keep Longoria in the minors for another month or two *cough, cough* arbitration *cough, cough*, but Alex Gordon and Ryan Braun should only be a minor reason if a reason at all.

Path to greatness [Tampa Tribune]
Prospect hopes to control fate [St. Pete Times]

DEVIL RAYS WEBTOPIA

  • Marc Topkin also noted that Rocco Baldelli is already working out at the Rays Spring Training complex and says that Baldelli is running “almost all out”. [St. Pete Times]
  • Matt Silverman received honorable mention in a recent St. Pete Times survey of local businesses when asked “Who do you see emerging as the area’s top business leaders?” Making the top 9 was St. Petersburg mayor Rick Baker who the Times. The Times sees Bakers biggest business related task in 2008 being how he represents the citizens in the Rays quest for a new stadium. [St. Pete Times]
  • 43% of local businesses support the Rays proposed stadium. 37% do not. [St. Pete Times]
  • The Tampa Bay Rays are taking their fight for a new stadium door-to-door…literally. In the last two months the Rays have made presentations about the new stadium to more than 30 local neighborhood associations, rotary groups and chamber of commerce meetings. They have 26 more meetings scheduled between now and the beginning of the season. [St. Pete Times]
  • A profile of Carlos Pena and his emergence as a top hitter in the American League. [MetroWest Daily News]